Preview, Tips and Best Bets for Sunshine Coast Sunday
Only six races with uncertain weather make this a challenging meeting. The big track gives all horses their chance but with the rail out 10 metres, riders will be avoiding the fence and coming to the crown in search of better going.
With small fields in several races and a lack of exposed form in others, value will be hard to find and the market may be the best guide.
Race 1- Fillies and Mares Class 2 Handicap 1000m
None of these inspire confidence.
Andrew Williamson has had his issues with the lightly-raced six-year-old mare TALLAHASSEE LASSIE (4) but she beat a similar field to this last start and whilst a day-to-day proposition will enjoy Melea Castle’s 3kg claim and a soft track.
MELISMA’S (2) form in Victoria has been moderate but Tony Gollan can turn these mares around and she has benefited from two trials. She has a history of misbehaviour but if Ryan Maloney can keep her settled, she may have a class edge.
THAWRA (5) has speed and won a recent trial at Toowoomba. Mark Currie has put Brad Stewart on and doesn’t bring them here without expectations.
HALLOWED DREAMS (1) has battled since resuming but the tongue-tie comes off and a better gate and heavy track may help.
Betting Strategy- Not a race to excite but TALLAHASSEE LASSIE (4) has the best recent form.
Race 2- Benchmark 70 Handicap 1400m
Kacy Fodgen has found a suitable race for the return of NEXT DIMENSION (2) which has benefited from a recent trial. A lightly-raced six-year-old, he showed himself up to Saturday grade last preparation, goes well fresh and with a crossover nose band and tongue tie will be ready to go. With Angela Jones 2kg claim he can go forward and control the race.
BAYERISCHE (7) never got a crack at them last start but has been improved by three outings and has run well in better races than this. A more positive ride from Mark Du Plessis will have him in the finish.
BELLISSIMI AMICI (6) is hard to follow but both career wins have come when third-up and she placed here when first-up. From a good gate, Ben Thompson can sit off the speed and if the track is not too wet come over the top.
Natalie McCall’s horses go best here and MAESTOSO (4) has won three times here including once at this trip. A wet track tests but if Boris Thornton gets him away on terms can be prominent for a long way.
LIABILITY (3) goes best when allowed to roll along in front. He is up in grade from last start and won’t want it wet but from a good gate with Zac Lloyd’s 2kg claim is well treated at the weights. If left alone over his favourite trip he could give a sight.
Betting Strategy- If ready, NEXT DIMENSION (2) will be hard to beat.
Race 3- Three-Year-Old Benchmark 65 Handicap 1300m
Les Ross’ horses invariably go well in the wet and MISHANI UNTAMED (4) has won both outings this time in. Jasmine Cornish has been having a good run of late and with her 3kg claim can be handy throughout. She has the form on the board and can go on with it.
MINTO’S PARADISE (1) has plenty of weight but has been racing well winning two of four starts this preparation and was only narrowly beaten when odds-on favourite last start. This shorter trip suits as will a wet track and Brad Stewart.
ISIS CARMELLA (2) was disappointing when she only battled in similar company last start. She has changed stables, Zac Lloyd takes the ride and with his 2kg claim could help turn things around.
STARHATTAN (10) will appreciate getting back to her own age group and over a shorter trip.
Betting Strategy- MISHANI UNTAMED (4) is well treated at the weights.
Race 4- Maiden Plate 1600m
A big field with few promising ones being tried at 1600m.
IL TORO D’ORO (7) was well beaten but far from disgraced when having his first start at this trip in Saturday grade at Doomben. He just missed at his previous start here over 1400m and now fitter for three outings will be hard to hold out.
This bigger track and longer distance will suit MAPLE DOOR (10) which hit the line hard behind Carneros at Ipswich. Fitter for three outings he gets his chance.
VIRTUOSITY (12) has been improved by two outings and races as though this distance will suit. With Larry Cassidy he will bide his time and try to round them up late.
BONJOUR MATE (2) showed improvement last start and will appreciate the shorter trip. With Ron Stewart he could go forward and be hard to pass.
Betting Strategy:- Expect IL TORO D’ORO (7) and MAPLE DOOR (10) to fight it out.
Race 5- 0-58 Handicap 1600m
Looking for those with least convictions.
JABBAR (3) made ground when resuming at the Gold Coast and will enjoy this extra distance on a bigger track. Unlike others in the field he handles rain-affected ground and with Ryan Maloney could be ready to fire.
KIPPAX (4) has only won one race from twenty starts but did enough at his first outing for Helen Page to warrant consideration in this moderate field. He was consistent without winning last preparation and has placed at three of four outings here.
EXPRESS DREAMS (9) has been disappointing but a freshen-up and recent trial win may have put her in the mood. The wide gate is no help but with Zac Lloyd’s claim she could give them a start and look to finish over the top.
PEDAL TO THE METAL (1) has put in two good efforts since coming North to join the Edmonds. He beat a promising one in Il Toro D’Oro last start and whilst this is harder is bred for this trip. He won’t like a heavy track but if he gets conditions to suit he could go on with it.
DUTCH DELIGHT (11) doesn’t win out of turn but has placed at two of three outings since resuming and will appreciate a positive ride from Jaden Lloyd.
LIKEABEEL (6) and EL CHAPARRO (8) would like longer but a heavy track won’t worry them and they will plod on forever.
Betting Strategy- Nothing would surprise.
Race 6- 0-60 Handicap 1200m
Going for some value with BAUHINIA BEANS (2) which has had two moderate outings since resuming but blinkers come off and he has won here previously. A soft track won’t worry him and Justin Stanley has an outstanding strike rate.
REAL HUSSEY (3) wasn’t far away at Ipswich and will find this easier. With an in-form Jasmine Cornish claiming 3kg and a good gate he will get every chance.
POUPEE (6) disappointed on a heavy track last start and gets a gear change. If she gets conditions more to her liking has the speed to be prominent for a long way.
FIGHTING MAD (13) was a beaten favourite here last start on a heavy track but might find this easier and if he gets a firmer surface can improve.
Betting Strategy- Will have a small play on BAUHINIA BEANS (2).
BEST BET: NEXT DIMENSION (Race 2 No 2)
NEXT BEST: MISHANI UNTAMED (Race 3 No 4)
VALUE BET: BAUHINIA BEANS (Race 6 No 2)
Quaddie numbers are:
Race 3: 1,4
Race 4: 7,10
Race 5: 1,3,11
Race 6: 2,3,6
Originally published as Preview, Tips and Best Bets for Sunshine Coast Sunday
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